My Account Log Out
 
 
Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (+103/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 49.5 @ -126 before it was bet up to 51.5 @ +103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 61.8% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Chargers this year (a monstrous 60.7 per game on average).
  • The pass games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.
  • In this week's game, Keenan Allen is anticipated by the projections to slot into the 95th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 8.9 targets.
  • As it relates to air yards, Keenan Allen grades out in the towering 82nd percentile among wide receivers this year, totaling an astounding 79.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 3 points.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to test the pass defense of the Minnesota Vikings, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 27.7 per game) this year.
  • Keenan Allen's 56.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 64.5.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Chargers grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™