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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Chargers vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to pass on 61.6% of their downs: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • At a mere 28.14 seconds per play, the Los Angeles Chargers offense ranks as the 10th-fastest paced in the league (context-neutralized) this year.
  • The weather report calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, and lower run volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 9th-most passes in the league (38.3 per game) this year.
  • Our trusted projections expect Keenan Allen to notch 8.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, placing him in the 91st percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • After accumulating 78.0 air yards per game last season, Keenan Allen has fallen off this season, now pacing 71.0 per game.
  • Keenan Allen's 55.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this year than it was last year at 64.5.
  • Keenan Allen's ability to grind out extra yardage has tailed off this season, totaling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.41 mark last season.

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