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Keenan Allen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 55.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 61.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 6th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 60.0% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 10th-most plays in football this year, averaging a staggering 59.0 plays per game.

The predictive model expects Keenan Allen to earn 9.0 targets in this game, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile among WRs.

Keenan Allen is positioned as one of the best WRs in the NFL this year, averaging an outstanding 52.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 92nd percentile.

Keenan Allen's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 61.0% to 68.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is indicated by the Chargers being a 3.5-point favorite in this game.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 123.8 total plays called: the lowest number out of all the games this week.

Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to lean on the pass against the Dolphins, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 28.8 per game) this year.

After accruing 78.0 air yards per game last season, Keenan Allen has seen a big decline this season, currently boasting 71.0 per game.

Keenan Allen's 56.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 64.5.

More Keenan Allen Player Props

Keenan Allen Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 6

Miami Dolphins vs Los Angeles Chargers

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6