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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Chargers vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 57.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 52.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 57.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 61.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to see 132.7 total plays called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The 10th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Chargers this year (a massive 58.8 per game on average).
  • Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being called for in this game) usually correlate with increased passing efficiency, increased touchdown potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced rush volume.
  • The Washington Commanders defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (36.5 per game) this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their usual approach.
  • Keenan Allen has totaled far fewer air yards this year (72.0 per game) than he did last year (78.0 per game).
  • Keenan Allen's 53.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 64.5.
  • The Chargers O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Keenan Allen's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a noteable decline in his effectiveness in space over last year's 3.4% mark.

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