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Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-105/+100).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 51.5 @ -105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to be the 2nd-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 64.0% pass rate.The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may drop-off.In this contest, Keenan Allen is forecasted by the predictive model to finish in the 86th percentile among WRs with 7.9 targets.In regards to air yards, Keenan Allen ranks in the towering 87th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accumulating a superb 80.0 per game.Keenan Allen is positioned as one of the best WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 54.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 81st percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 6-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their usual game plan.The predictive model expects the Chargers to call the 4th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.6 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.The Los Angeles Chargers have called the 9th-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.4 plays per game.Los Angeles's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially propped up a bit (and running stats reduced) on account of playing the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league. We should be able to count on some correction with windier weather in this week's game.Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Giants, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (just 30.1 per game) since the start of last season.
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