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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 53.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.1% pass rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see 129.7 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
  • The leading projections forecast Keenan Allen to accrue 7.4 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • When talking about air yards, Keenan Allen grades out in the lofty 86th percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, accruing a whopping 79.0 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread indicates a running game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a measly 55.6 plays per game.
  • Our trusted projections expect Keenan Allen to be a much smaller piece of his offense's passing offense in this game (21.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (27.5% in games he has played).
  • Keenan Allen checks in as one of the weakest wide receivers in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 1st percentile.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders defense has allowed the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 128.0) to WRs since the start of last season.

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