Keenan Allen Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Keenan Allen

NFL · Player Props

Keenan Allen

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2025

Updated Dec 9, 2025 12:57 AM UTC

Analysis

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.7% pass rate.
The Chargers have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.
Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally lead to increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.
Our trusted projections expect Keenan Allen to earn 7.0 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
Keenan Allen ranks as one of the top WRs in the league this year, averaging an exceptional 53.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 83rd percentile.

Favors Under

The model projects the Chargers to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.2 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
After accruing 78.0 air yards per game last season, Keenan Allen has fallen off this season, now pacing 66.0 per game.
Keenan Allen's 52.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 64.5.
When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Chargers profiles as the worst in the league this year.
Keenan Allen's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season conveys a noteworthy decline in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 3.4% mark.

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