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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Los Angeles Chargers vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.7% pass rate.
  • The Chargers have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.0 plays per game.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 1-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally lead to increased passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • Our trusted projections expect Keenan Allen to earn 7.0 targets in this game, on average, placing him in the 79th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.
  • Keenan Allen ranks as one of the top WRs in the league this year, averaging an exceptional 53.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 83rd percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Chargers to run the fewest total plays on the slate this week with 61.2 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • After accruing 78.0 air yards per game last season, Keenan Allen has fallen off this season, now pacing 66.0 per game.
  • Keenan Allen's 52.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 64.5.
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Chargers profiles as the worst in the league this year.
  • Keenan Allen's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season conveys a noteworthy decline in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 3.4% mark.

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