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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (+100/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in the league (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Chargers.
  • The Chargers have run the 7th-most plays in football this year, totaling a massive 60.0 plays per game.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) generally mean better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced run volume.
  • The predictive model expects Keenan Allen to garner 7.1 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.
  • With an exceptional 56.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (86th percentile) this year, Keenan Allen stands among the best pass-catching WRs in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Chargers, who are a heavy favorite by 9.5 points.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have only 122.9 plays on offense called: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • After accumulating 78.0 air yards per game last season, Keenan Allen has gotten worse this season, currently boasting 68.0 per game.
  • Keenan Allen's 52.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably worse this year than it was last year at 64.5.
  • The Los Angeles offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.

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