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Keenan Allen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (-111/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 37.5 @ -111.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 3rd-most pass-centric team in football (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 65.0% pass rate.

The largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a whopping 61.6 per game on average).

The Jaguars defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, enticing opposing QBs to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (39.8 per game) this year.

This week, Keenan Allen is anticipated by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 84th percentile among WRs with 7.3 targets.

With an impressive 56.0 adjusted receiving yards per game (86th percentile) this year, Keenan Allen rates among the leading wide receivers in the league in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their typical game plan.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Chargers are anticipated by the model to call just 63.0 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-fewest on the slate this week.

The weatherman calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

After accruing 78.0 air yards per game last season, Keenan Allen has undergone a big decline this season, currently averaging 70.0 per game.

Keenan Allen's 52.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 64.5.

More Keenan Allen Player Props

Keenan Allen Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 11

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Chargers

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11