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Keenan Allen

Keenan Allen Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Chargers vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Keenan Allen Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 42.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Chargers to pass on 61.3% of their downs: the 5th-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • The 2nd-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Chargers this year (a massive 61.1 per game on average).
  • The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, leading opposing offenses to attempt the most passes in the league (41.6 per game) this year.
  • In this contest, Keenan Allen is anticipated by the projection model to land in the 87th percentile among wide receivers with 8.1 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Chargers are favored in this game, implying more of a reliance on rushing than their normal game plan.
  • The projections expect the Chargers to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Keenan Allen's 54.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit lower this season than it was last season at 64.5.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Chargers ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year.
  • Keenan Allen's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a substantial decline in his effectiveness in space over last season's 3.4% mark.

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