My Account Log Out
 
 
Keaton Mitchell

Keaton Mitchell Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Keaton Mitchell Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+425/-640).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +650 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +425.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.1 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.
  • The Steelers pass defense has allowed the 3rd-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (88.7%) vs. RBs this year (88.7%).
  • As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Pittsburgh's group of DEs has been great this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 5.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely leading to a running game script.
  • The model projects the Ravens as the 4th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 52.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 5th-most run-oriented team in football in the red zone (48.4% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Baltimore Ravens.
  • At a massive 30.21 seconds per snap, the Ravens offense comes in as the 3rd-slowest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.
  • The Ravens offensive line grades out as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™