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Keaton Mitchell

Keaton Mitchell Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Keaton Mitchell Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+355/-400).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +430 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +355.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the projections to see 129.7 total plays run: the 5th-most on the slate this week.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals pass defense has been gouged for the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (87%) versus running backs this year (87.0%).
  • This year, the shaky Cincinnati Bengals defense has surrendered a monstrous 0.55 TDs through the air per game to opposing running backs: the highest rate in football.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Cincinnati's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Ravens as the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 5th-most run-centric team in the NFL near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 48.5% red zone run rate.
  • The 2nd-fewest plays in football have been called by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a measly 52.0 per game on average).
  • When it comes to protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Baltimore Ravens grades out as the 6th-worst in football this year.

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