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Keaton Mitchell

Keaton Mitchell Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Keaton Mitchell Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-116/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a running game script.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to run on 48.6% of their chances: the 4th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The New England Patriots defensive ends profile as the worst DE corps in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the model to have just 127.0 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Baltimore Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 51.9 plays per game.

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