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Keaton Mitchell

Keaton Mitchell Carries
Player Prop Week 11

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Keaton Mitchell Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Ravens are a huge favorite this week, indicating much more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Baltimore Ravens to run on 51.1% of their chances: the greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is forecasted by the model to see 132.7 offensive plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.
  • The weather report calls for 24-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 3rd-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Baltimore Ravens this year (a lowly 51.6 per game on average).
  • The Browns defensive ends grade out as the best group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

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