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Kayshon Boutte

Kayshon Boutte Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

New England Patriots vs Atlanta Falcons

 
 
 
Kayshon Boutte Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+245/-275).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -335 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -275.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 7th-most pass-focused team in the league in the red zone (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the New England Patriots.
  • The leading projections forecast Kayshon Boutte to be a more integral piece of his team's passing offense near the goal line in this contest (11.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (6.1% in games he has played).
  • As it relates to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.
  • Kayshon Boutte's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 62.3% to 76.4%.
  • With an impressive rate of 0.56 per game through the air (95th percentile), Kayshon Boutte stands as one of the leading receiving TD-scorers in the NFL when it comes to WRs this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a 5-point favorite in this game.
  • The leading projections forecast the Patriots as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 5th-most sluggish paced offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the New England Patriots.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 27.0 pass attempts per game versus the Falcons defense this year: fewest in the NFL.
  • Kayshon Boutte has put up far fewer air yards this season (66.0 per game) than he did last season (74.0 per game).

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