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Kayshon Boutte

Kayshon Boutte Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

New England Patriots vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Kayshon Boutte Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+310/-370).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +320 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +310.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 59.3% red zone pass rate.
  • The New England Patriots O-line profiles as the 7th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
  • Kayshon Boutte's 70.8% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a remarkable growth in his receiving skills over last year's 62.3% mark.
  • Kayshon Boutte ranks in the 87th percentile among WRs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an outstanding 0.38 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Patriots as the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 55.6% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to see just 125.1 plays on offense called: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Los Angeles Chargers, averaging the 4th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 29.2 per game) this year.
  • After averaging 74.0 air yards per game last year, Kayshon Boutte has been a disappointment this year, now pacing 57.0 per game.

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