My Account Log Out
 
 
Kayshon Boutte

Kayshon Boutte Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Kayshon Boutte Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+260/-300).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -300 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -300.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (35.5 per game) this year.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Kayshon Boutte's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 62.3% to 75.0%.
  • Kayshon Boutte ranks in the 91st percentile among WRs when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a remarkable 0.45 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are heavily favored in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • The projections expect the Patriots to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Patriots are expected by the predictive model to call just 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • After totaling 74.0 air yards per game last season, Kayshon Boutte has undergone a big decline this season, now averaging 56.0 per game.
  • Kayshon Boutte's 34.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been substantially worse this year than it was last year at 47.8.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™