|
This week's spread indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Patriots, who are a huge favorite by 7 points.Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New England Patriots to pass on 51.7% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.In terms of a defense's effect on pace, at 28.93 seconds per play, the model projects the New England Patriots as the 8th-most sluggish in football (adjusted for context) at the moment.Windy weather conditions (like the 19-mph being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with worse passing effectiveness, lower pass volume, and increased rush volume.Kayshon Boutte's 40.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this season than it was last season at 47.8.
|
