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Kayshon Boutte

Kayshon Boutte Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Kayshon Boutte Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+130/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs in this game, implying more of a reliance on throwing than their usual approach.
  • Right now, the 5th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New England Patriots.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.
  • Kayshon Boutte's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 62.3% to 76.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Patriots to run the 4th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Kayshon Boutte has run fewer routes this season (73.3% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (87.4%).
  • The Ravens safeties project as the best collection of safeties in football this year in pass coverage.

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