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Kayshon Boutte

Kayshon Boutte Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Kayshon Boutte Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-139/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -139.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the predictive model to see 136.5 plays on offense run: the most among all games this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Kayshon Boutte's 71.2% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a meaningful progression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 62.3% figure.
  • Kayshon Boutte's pass-game effectiveness has gotten better this year, compiling 11.90 adjusted yards-per-target vs a measly 8.52 mark last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Patriots to pass on 56.3% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The 8th-fewest plays in football have been called by the New England Patriots this year (a measly 54.4 per game on average).
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game against the Saints defense this year: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Kayshon Boutte has accrued quite a few less air yards this year (57.0 per game) than he did last year (74.0 per game).

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