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Kayshon Boutte

Kayshon Boutte Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New England Patriots vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Kayshon Boutte Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-125/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 34.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Patriots boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels, and the model projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.9% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
  • At the present time, the 7th-most pass-oriented team in the league (62.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the New England Patriots.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually correlate with better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower run volume.
  • With a sizeable 86.3% Route Participation% (80th percentile) since the start of last season, Kayshon Boutte stands as one of the WRs with the most usage in the NFL.
  • Kayshon Boutte has accumulated a monstrous 75.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 83rd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The New England O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all pass game statistics across the board.

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