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Kayshon Boutte

Kayshon Boutte Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

New England Patriots vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Kayshon Boutte Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (+101/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 31.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the New England Patriots to be the 5th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 64.0% pass rate.
  • The New England Patriots O-line grades out as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
  • Kayshon Boutte's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 62.3% to 75.4%.
  • Kayshon Boutte's 12.4 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates a material gain in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 8.5 rate.
  • The Buffalo cornerbacks project as the 3rd-worst collection of CBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Patriots are forecasted by the model to run just 61.8 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Bills, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.5 per game) this year.
  • Kayshon Boutte's 72.2% Route% this year illustrates a substantial regression in his passing game utilization over last year's 87.4% figure.
  • After accumulating 74.0 air yards per game last year, Kayshon Boutte has undergone a big decline this year, currently sitting at 57.0 per game.
  • Kayshon Boutte's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season marks a material decrease in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 3.5% figure.

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