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Kayshon Boutte

Kayshon Boutte Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Kayshon Boutte Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-115/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -109.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants defense has been a glaring pass funnel this year, causing opposing QBs to attempt the 10th-most passes in the league (35.5 per game) this year.
  • When talking about pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Patriots profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Kayshon Boutte's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate increasing from 62.3% to 75.0%.
  • Kayshon Boutte's pass-catching effectiveness has gotten better this season, averaging 12.99 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a mere 8.52 mark last season.
  • The New York Giants defense has allowed the most adjusted receiving yards per game in football (162.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Patriots are heavily favored in this week's game, implying much more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • The projections expect the Patriots to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Patriots are expected by the predictive model to call just 62.8 offensive plays in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Kayshon Boutte has run fewer routes this season (71.8% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (87.4%).
  • After totaling 74.0 air yards per game last season, Kayshon Boutte has undergone a big decline this season, now averaging 56.0 per game.

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