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Kayshon Boutte

Kayshon Boutte Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Kayshon Boutte Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-109/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Patriots to run the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.5 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the New England Patriots grades out as the 8th-best in the NFL this year.
  • Kayshon Boutte's 73.6% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents a noteable progression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 62.3% rate.
  • Kayshon Boutte's 13.4 adjusted yards per target this year indicates a significant gain in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 8.5 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are an enormous 7.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The model projects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • After accruing 74.0 air yards per game last season, Kayshon Boutte has fallen off this season, currently boasting 61.0 per game.
  • Kayshon Boutte's 37.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 47.8.
  • Kayshon Boutte's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year signifies a remarkable decline in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 3.5% mark.

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