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KaVontae Turpin

KaVontae Turpin Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
KaVontae Turpin Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+530/-670).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +560 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +530.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The Cowboys have been the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) this year with a 60.3% red zone pass rate.
  • The model projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • KaVontae Turpin's 86.0% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects a meaningful improvement in his receiving talent over last year's 65.7% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Cowboys grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
  • This year, the imposing Broncos defense has allowed a paltry 64.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 2nd-best rate in the league.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has conceded the fewest touchdowns through the air in the NFL to WRs: 0.14 per game this year.

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