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KaVontae Turpin

KaVontae Turpin Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
KaVontae Turpin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+101/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • KaVontae Turpin has run fewer routes this year (48.1% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (28.9%).
  • KaVontae Turpin's 86.0% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects a meaningful improvement in his receiving talent over last year's 65.7% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Cowboys grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.7%) to WRs this year (59.7%).
  • The Denver Broncos linebackers rank as the 6th-best LB corps in the league this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

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