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KaVontae Turpin

KaVontae Turpin Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Dallas Cowboys vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
KaVontae Turpin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+165/-225).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -220 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -225.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 59.6% of their plays: the 9th-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Cowboys offense to be the 9th-quickest paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.40 seconds per play.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • KaVontae Turpin's 44.4% Route Participation% this year marks a remarkable improvement in his passing offense workload over last year's 28.9% rate.
  • KaVontae Turpin's 74.6% Adjusted Catch% this year conveys a significant progression in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 65.7% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 5 points.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.5 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the NFL.
  • The Cowboys O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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