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KaVontae Turpin

KaVontae Turpin Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
KaVontae Turpin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Cowboys are underdogs this week, indicating more of a reliance on throwing than their normal game plan.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 62.9% of their plays: the 5th-highest rate on the slate this week.
  • The 10th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cowboys this year (a colossal 58.8 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • KaVontae Turpin's 43.3% Route% this year illustrates a meaningful boost in his passing offense usage over last year's 28.9% mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Cowboys are projected by the model to run just 61.6 total plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • The Cowboys offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (57.7%) to wideouts this year (57.7%).

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