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KaVontae Turpin

KaVontae Turpin Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Las Vegas Raiders vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
KaVontae Turpin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 9th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a whopping 59.1 per game on average).
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
  • KaVontae Turpin's 43.6% Route Participation% this year shows a substantial progression in his passing offense workload over last year's 28.9% rate.
  • KaVontae Turpin's 74.8% Adjusted Catch% this year indicates a noteable gain in his receiving proficiency over last year's 65.7% rate.
  • This year, the shaky Raiders pass defense has yielded a monstrous 69.7% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 4th-biggest rate in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 59.4% of their plays: the 8th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the predictive model to have just 125.6 plays on offense called: the lowest number among all games this week.
  • As it relates to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Dallas Cowboys ranks as the worst in football this year.

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