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KaVontae Turpin

KaVontae Turpin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Dallas Cowboys vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
KaVontae Turpin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-130/+101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 10th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 59.0 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Cardinals defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, compelling opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (39.4 per game) this year.
  • KaVontae Turpin has been used less as a potential target this year (47.3% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (28.9%).
  • KaVontae Turpin's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 65.7% to 76.3%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Cowboys are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
  • The leading projections forecast the Cowboys as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to see only 131.2 plays on offense run: the fewest among all games this week.
  • The Dallas Cowboys offensive line profiles as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • KaVontae Turpin's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season signifies a material decline in his efficiency in space over last season's 6.3% rate.

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