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KaVontae Turpin

KaVontae Turpin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
KaVontae Turpin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-109/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -126 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is implied by the Cowboys being a -4-point underdog this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the 4th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 62.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.2 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • KaVontae Turpin has run fewer routes this year (48.1% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last year (28.9%).
  • KaVontae Turpin's 86.0% Adjusted Catch% this year reflects a meaningful improvement in his receiving talent over last year's 65.7% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the influence it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Cowboys grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year.
  • KaVontae Turpin's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a material decline in his effectiveness in space over last season's 6.3% mark.
  • This year, the fierce Broncos defense has allowed a puny 113.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing WRs: the 2nd-fewest in football.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has displayed strong efficiency versus wideouts this year, allowing 6.45 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the fewest in the league.
  • The Denver Broncos linebackers rank as the 6th-best LB corps in the league this year when it comes to rushing the passer.

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