My Account Log Out

reorder

KaVontae Turpin

KaVontae Turpin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers

KaVontae Turpin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread implies a passing game script for the Cowboys, who are -6.5-point underdogs.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 64.5% of their chances: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.

The 2nd-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a monstrous 61.4 per game on average).

The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Packers defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to have only 125.3 plays on offense run: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The Cowboys offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.

The Green Bay Packers defense has conceded the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 122.0) to wideouts since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the fierce Green Bay Packers defense has allowed the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wide receivers: a paltry 7.5 yards.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Green Bay's CB corps has been great since the start of last season, grading out as the 2nd-best in the league.

More KaVontae Turpin Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™