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KaVontae Turpin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-118).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The predictive model expects this game to have the 3rd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 132.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.The Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.3 plays per game.With a remarkable 5.24 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (85th percentile) since the start of last season, KaVontae Turpin has been as one of the top wide receivers in the league in football in space.The Chicago Bears pass defense has shown poor efficiency vs. wideouts since the start of last season, allowing 9.06 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-most in the NFL.When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Chicago's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Cowboys have played in the 9th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which should mean reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced passing attack effectiveness when facing windier conditions in this game.Opposing QBs teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.8 per game) since the start of last season.KaVontae Turpin has run a route on 29.1% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 19th percentile among WRs.In regards to pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Cowboys ranks as the 7th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season.
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