My Account Log Out
 
 
Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

Buffalo Bills vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +134 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 62.2% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to be the most pass-centric team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 64.3% red zone pass rate.
  • The Chiefs have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 52.0 plays per game.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all pass attack statistics), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see only 124.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest out of all the games this week.
  • Opposing teams teams have been afraid to pass too much against the Buffalo Bills, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in football (a measly 28.7 per game) this year.
  • The leading projections forecast Kareem Hunt to be a much bigger part of his offense's running game near the goal line in this contest (53.8% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (32.5% in games he has played).
  • Kareem Hunt has rushed for 0.50 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest figures in football among RBs (91st percentile).
  • This year, the fierce Bills defense has conceded a meager 70.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing running backs: the best rate in the league.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™