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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Kansas City Chiefs vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+285/-290).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -275 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -290.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 65.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to be the most pass-centric offense in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.9% red zone pass rate.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-quickest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Chiefs.
  • The Ravens defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the league (38.5 per game) since the start of last season.
  • While Kareem Hunt has been responsible for 0.0% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a much bigger part of Kansas City's pass game near the goal line in this game at 6.5%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • While Kareem Hunt has garnered 33.3% of his team's red zone rush attempts in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Kansas City's run game near the end zone in this week's contest at 43.4%.
  • In regards to air yards, Kareem Hunt ranks in the paltry 9th percentile among RBs since the start of last season, averaging just -3.0 per game.
  • Kareem Hunt's 81.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season indicates a noteable decrease in his receiving prowess over last season's 86.2% figure.
  • Since the start of last season, Kareem Hunt has not caught any TDs through the air since the start of last season.
  • With a stellar ratio of 0.50 touchdowns on the ground per game (89th percentile), Kareem Hunt ranks among the top rushing touchdown-scorers in the NFL since the start of last season.

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