Kareem Hunt Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Kareem Hunt

NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Touchdowns

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 16, 2025

Updated Dec 22, 2025 12:27 AM UTC

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+188/-215).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -196 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -215.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Chiefs as the 7th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Chiefs to be the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 61.5% red zone pass rate.
The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.6 plays per game.
The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all pass attack statistics across the board.
This year, the deficient Tennessee Titans defense has been torched for a massive 74.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to see only 127.1 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
Out of all RBs, Kareem Hunt ranks in the 81st percentile for red zone rush attempts this year, accounting for 46.2% of the usage in his offense's rushing attack near the end zone.
Kareem Hunt's ball-catching skills have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate decreasing from 86.3% to 73.7%.
Kareem Hunt has run for 0.57 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in the NFL among running backs (94th percentile).

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