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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 14

Kansas City Chiefs vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+146/-156).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -146 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -156.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 60.8% of their chances: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric team in the NFL in the red zone (63.4% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Chiefs.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Chiefs are anticipated by the projection model to run 65.9 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The 4th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a colossal 61.1 per game on average).
  • The Chiefs O-line profiles as the 6th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 4-point favorite this week.
  • Kareem Hunt has garnered 47.7% of his team's red zone rush attempts this year, placing him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
  • Kareem Hunt has run for 0.58 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in football when it comes to running backs (92nd percentile).
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest level in the league versus the Texans defense this year (65.2% Adjusted Completion%).
  • This year, the daunting Texans defense has surrendered a mere 0.08 TDs through the air per game to opposing RBs: the 5th-smallest rate in the NFL.

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