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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-102/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.0% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (63.5% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Chiefs.
  • The Chiefs have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Chiefs profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 128.7 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • While Kareem Hunt has garnered 41.2% of his offense's red zone rush attempts in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Kansas City's rushing attack near the end zone in this contest at 63.2%.
  • Kareem Hunt has rushed for 0.60 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in the league when it comes to running backs (94th percentile).
  • This year, the daunting Indianapolis Colts defense has yielded a puny 76.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 7th-best rate in the league.

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