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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 11

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+117/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +117 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +117.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Right now, the 3rd-most pass-focused offense in football in the red zone (63.2% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Chiefs.
  • The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 2nd-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.8 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The 10th-highest number of plays in the league have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a staggering 58.9 per game on average).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Chiefs, who are favored by 4 points.
  • The model projects Kareem Hunt to be a more important option in his team's rushing attack near the goal line in this contest (65.0% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (38.8% in games he has played).
  • Kareem Hunt has rushed for 0.56 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in football among running backs (92nd percentile).
  • Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest clip in football versus the Broncos defense this year (64.3% Adjusted Completion%).

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