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Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-115/+107).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 42.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ -115.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Chiefs have run the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 52.0 plays per game.While Kareem Hunt has been responsible for 30.0% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Kansas City's run game in this game at 47.9%.The Buffalo Bills defense has had the 3rd-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, allowing 5.33 adjusted yards-per-carry.As it relates to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Buffalo's unit has been atrocious this year, projecting as the 2nd-worst in football. in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to run on 37.8% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projections to see only 124.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-fewest out of all the games this week.Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) usually mean increased passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower ground volume.Kareem Hunt has rushed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (34.0) this season than he did last season (58.0).
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