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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) typically prompt worse passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and higher rush volume.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 38.2% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • After comprising 60.4% of his offense's rush attempts last season, Kareem Hunt has been less involved in the rushing attack this season, currently making up just 35.2%.
  • Kareem Hunt's 31.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season represents a remarkable reduction in his running skills over last season's 58.0 figure.
  • Kareem Hunt's running effectiveness (3.42 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football this year (22nd percentile when it comes to running backs).
  • Kareem Hunt comes in as one of the bottom running backs in the NFL at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging just 2.03 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 5th percentile.

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