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Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-120/+110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 29.5 @ +110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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With a 6-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to run the 10th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 64.6 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 9th-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a staggering 58.9 plays per game.With a stellar total of 53.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (79th percentile), Kareem Hunt stands as one of the top RBs in football since the start of last season.The opposing side have rushed for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the league (143 per game) against the New York Giants defense since the start of last season.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The predictive model expects the Kansas City Chiefs as the 4th-least run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 38.7% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually lead to better passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.The projections expect Kareem Hunt to be a much smaller part of his team's running game in this week's game (37.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (56.9% in games he has played).With a very bad tally of 3.75 adjusted yards per carry (10th percentile) since the start of last season, Kareem Hunt stands among the weakest RBs in the league at the position.The Giants defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.
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