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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (+101/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ +101.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Chiefs are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a running game script.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 4th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a massive 60.6 plays per game.
  • This year, the poor Titans run defense has yielded a massive 131.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 8th-worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chiefs to be the 7th-least run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 39.7% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is predicted by our trusted projection set to see only 127.1 total plays called: the 5th-lowest number out of all the games this week.
  • Kareem Hunt has been a much smaller piece of his team's run game this season (42.7% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (60.4%).
  • Kareem Hunt has rushed for many fewer adjusted yards per game (43.0) this year than he did last year (58.0).
  • As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Tennessee's collection of DTs has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the league.

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