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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints

Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns are a 3.5-point favorite this week, likely creating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 5th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 2nd-quickest paced defense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 27.10 seconds per snap.

The weather report calls for 26-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have rushed for the 7th-most yards in the NFL (136 per game) vs. the New Orleans Saints defense this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Kareem Hunt has rushed for substantially fewer yards per game (33.0) this season than he did last season (46.0).

The New Orleans Saints defensive ends profile as the 6th-best unit in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

The Cleveland Browns have been faced with a stacked the box on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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