Kareem Hunt Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Kareem Hunt

NFL · Player Props

Kareem Hunt

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 18, 2025

Updated Jan 5, 2026 12:27 AM UTC

Analysis

Kareem Hunt Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Kansas City Chiefs will be rolling with backup quarterback Chris Oladokun in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
At the moment, the 7th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (63.5% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chiefs.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.
The Las Vegas Raiders safeties project as the 3rd-worst group of safeties in the league this year in defending receivers.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to have only 125.2 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game against the Raiders defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
Kareem Hunt's 73.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a noteable drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last year's 86.3% mark.

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