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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Las Vegas Raiders vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Kansas City Chiefs will be rolling with backup quarterback Chris Oladokun in this game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
  • At the moment, the 7th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (63.5% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Chiefs.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Kansas City Chiefs profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders safeties project as the 3rd-worst group of safeties in the league this year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is projected by the projections to have only 125.2 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game against the Raiders defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
  • Kareem Hunt's 73.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a noteable drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last year's 86.3% mark.

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