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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+108/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 59.4% of their downs: the 10th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The 4th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Kansas City Chiefs this year (a colossal 60.9 per game on average).
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may decline.
  • The Chiefs offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong influence on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers linebackers rank as the 4th-worst group of LBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Chiefs being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The predictive model expects this game to chug along at the 13th-slowest pace out of all the games this week, averaging 26.89 seconds per play accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Los Angeles Chargers, totaling the 5th-fewest attempts in football (just 30.7 per game) this year.
  • Kareem Hunt's receiving reliability have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Catch% shrinking from 86.2% to 75.5%.
  • This year, the formidable Chargers defense has yielded a mere 77.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing running backs: the 4th-smallest rate in the league.

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