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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Kansas City Chiefs vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 63.0% of their opportunities: the 4th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Chiefs have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game against the Colts defense this year: 3rd-most in football.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing game metrics), the offensive line of the Chiefs profiles as the 6th-best in the league this year.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Indianapolis's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Chiefs being a 4.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to have only 128.7 plays on offense run: the 5th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • This year, the daunting Indianapolis Colts defense has yielded a puny 76.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 7th-best rate in the league.

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