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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+170/-220).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -210 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -220.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -6-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 26.81 seconds per play.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 9th-most in the league.
  • The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 7th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all air attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Kareem Hunt's 19.5% Route Participation% this season conveys a substantial drop-off in his passing game usage over last season's 41.2% rate.
  • Kareem Hunt's 1.0 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 2.1 rate.
  • Kareem Hunt's ball-catching skills have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate shrinking from 86.3% to 64.1%.
  • As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Baltimore's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the best in football.

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