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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Chiefs to be the 9th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 59.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Kareem Hunt's 38.9% snap rate this year marks a noteable decrease in his offensive utilization over last year's 51.7% mark.
  • As it relates to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Kansas City Chiefs grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year.
  • Kareem Hunt's ball-catching skills have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch% increasing from 86.2% to 89.7%.
  • The Las Vegas Raiders safeties rank as the worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a giant 13-point favorite in this game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Kareem Hunt has accumulated a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (10.0) this season than he did last season (16.0).
  • Kareem Hunt's ability to grind out extra yardage has diminished this season, notching just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 9.39 figure last season.
  • This year, the formidable Las Vegas Raiders defense has surrendered a paltry 76.0% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 6th-best rate in football.

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