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Kareem Hunt

Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Kansas City Chiefs

 
 
 
Kareem Hunt Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the most pass-focused team in football (69.9% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Kansas City Chiefs.
  • The projections expect this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
  • With an outstanding 7.71 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (76th percentile) since the start of last season, Kareem Hunt ranks among the top pass-game RBs in the NFL in the open field.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Chiefs are favored this week, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their standard approach.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) typically prompt worse passing efficiency, lower pass volume, and higher rush volume.
  • Kareem Hunt has put up substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (9.0) this year than he did last year (16.0).
  • Kareem Hunt's 6.1 adjusted yards per target this year shows a noteable diminishment in his receiving proficiency over last year's 7.9 rate.
  • The Jaguars pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (72.9%) to running backs this year (72.9%).

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